Overcapacity, lagging development of parts and components industry, and low level of supporting services
September 7-10, China Automotive Technology and Research Center (CATARC), China Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE-CHINA), China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM), China Automotive News and Tianjin Economic and Technological Development Area (TEDA) The co-sponsored “2007 China Automotive Industry Development International Forum, China Automotive Engineering Society Annual Conference and Exhibition†was held in Tianjin Binhai New Area. This forum, standing on the perspective of the future development of the Chinese automotive industry, takes the theme of “Environmental Protection, Energy Saving, and Green Manufacturing†as the theme of the year, and has received unanimous recognition and attention from the automotive industry at home and abroad. Representatives of government, industry and academia participated in the event, covering the international "6+3" and domestic well-known auto companies. It is the largest, most extensive and highest-level automobile industry event in China. The following is the sound from the forum.
Automobile market risk to enter the market should be cautious
Zhang Guobao, deputy director of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that the overcapacity of domestic vehicles has now become a problem that the National Development and Reform Commission and the automobile industry are worried about. According to the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" investment plan of major auto manufacturers, by 2010, the domestic auto scale production capacity may exceed the expected market demand. In 2006, China's auto production and sales both exceeded 7.2 million. However, in fact, at present, the production capacity of China's automobiles has exceeded 10 million, and this contradiction of overcapacity is still accumulating, and the investment in auto industry is still increasing. Statistics show that during the “10th Five-Year Plan†period, the investment in fixed assets of the Chinese auto industry reached 235.16 billion yuan, which exceeded the sum of all previous investments. This figure reached 150 billion yuan in 2006. In the first half of this year, this investment was 78.9 billion yuan.
According to him, after Lifan and JAC entered the field of cars, there are still a large number of auto companies that are waiting to enter. Including sports cars in Dongguan, Guangdong and Malaysia. In addition, traditional SUV car manufacturers such as the Great Wall and Changfeng are also working hard to obtain the qualifications for a sedan.
Zhang Guobao stated that in order to avoid excessive blind expansion, according to the national industrial policy, when existing automobile manufacturers basically do not control the scale of their development of similar models, they can through their own investment in the market and their own Judgment to build new production capacity. However, for enterprises newly entering the automobile market and manufacturing industry, the country must also exercise certain control over its access standards.
Zhang Guobao warned that “the auto market is risky and caution should be taken when entering the marketâ€. He said that although there were only 27 vehicles per thousand people in the country in 2006, and the world average was 150, we could not blindly believe that the development of China's auto industry is still very big.
Zhang Guobao believes that it is unscientific to compare China's per capita car ownership with the world average. China has a population of 1.3 billion. It is a developing country, and its development level is uneven, and many people do not have the strength to purchase cars.
Zhang Guobao said that the automotive industry is a technology and capital-intensive industry that requires mass production and large capital investment. Once the investment fails, it will lose hundreds of millions or even billions of dollars in funds.
Three major auto groups will invest 50 billion yuan for independent brand development
Zhang Xiaoyu, vice president of the China Federation of Machinery Industry and president of the China Association of Automotive Engineers, stated that the Chinese auto market is booming and the development of new products has become more diverse. Independent development, joint design and commissioned development have become important means for China's auto product innovation. Technological innovation and independent development are becoming the focus of automotive companies. The Chinese auto industry continues to accelerate the pace of independent innovation. Only the three major automobile groups of FAW, Dongfeng and SAIC plan to invest approximately RMB 50 billion in the near future for their own brand development.
According to Zhang Xiaoyu, FAW Group plans to invest 13 billion yuan to build its own brand, of which 8.8 billion yuan will be used for research and development of new models, 2.5 billion yuan will be used for research and development of hardware and software facilities, and 1.7 billion yuan will be focused on 229 key vehicle types. In the next five years, SAIC needs more than 27 billion yuan of funds for the company's development, including the construction of self-owned brand vehicles, research and development of complete vehicles and engine products, and construction of technology centers. In addition, Dongfeng Group plans to invest nearly RMB 10 billion in its own-brand passenger car project.
Zhang Xiaolu said that the Chinese auto industry is using more funds for its own development, and technological innovation is very active. In 2006, 177 new models were launched in China. Although the market share of self-owned brand cars is still much lower than that of joint venture brands, in the passenger car market below 1.6 liters, self-owned brand cars have a considerable advantage. In the commercial field, China has already had its own development capabilities and can basically meet the requirements of the domestic market for product updates. He believes that as domestic auto manufacturers continue to increase technological innovation, the market share of self-owned brand cars will be greatly improved.
Car insurance premium is expected to link with C-NCAP star rating in the future
At the "2007 China Automotive Industry Development International Forum", China People's Property Insurance Co., Ltd. and the China Automotive Technology and Research Center formally signed a strategic cooperation agreement in Tianjin.
Both parties will work together to study the new insurance rate standard in the future. C-NCAP's evaluation star rating is expected to be an important reference. In the future, the higher the star rating, the lower the insurance premium.
Zhao Hang, director of the China Automotive Technology and Research Center, said that the signing of the contract will make the first time the car insurance premium linked to C-NCAP star rating. For cars of the same price in the future, the higher the C-NCAP star rating, the lower the car premium will be. In his opinion, this cooperation will be able to change the “closed-door†situation caused by the lack of statistics on traffic accidents at the China Automotive Technology and Research Center. This is because the data of PICC P&C’s automobile accidents is detailed and accurate, and it’s true and reliable. It is helpful to formulate future automotive technical standards in a targeted manner, which will minimize the number of deaths due to collisions, side collisions, and rollovers.
It is estimated that China's automobile emissions will reach Euro IV standards in 2010
Last year, China’s car sales had already ranked second in the world. At the same time, the environmental problems caused by automobiles have become increasingly prominent and energy has been consumed in large quantities. Experts at the forum stated that many manufacturers on the market today can meet Euro III and Euro IV emission standards in manufacturing, and they cannot reach even Euro I or Euro II in practical use. In addition, there are serious gaps in fuel standards.
Zhao Hang, director of the China Automotive Technology and Research Center, said that if only Beijing or Beijing can be added to the EU III and EU IV oils around the periphery, they will be out of Beijing, and they will not be added to the field. The actual effectiveness of this system will be greatly increased. discount. It is understood that Europe has already implemented the Euro IV emission standard. In 2010, it will implement the Euro V and even Euro VI standards. However, China's current emission standards lag far behind the international level, and it is nearly two stages.
Zhang Xiaoji, chairman of the China Association of Automotive Engineers, said that if the Euro V emission standard is reached, the absolute value of the average emissions per vehicle will be reduced by about 80%, close to zero emissions or extremely low emissions. What we are now striving for is to strive for the implementation of European Phase IV in 2010, which is the standard of emissions that we originally planned for.
Remanufacturing is in urgent need of amending regulations, launching pilots and enacting incentives for opening doors
Dong Yang, executive deputy chairman and secretary-general of China Automobile Association, said that the cost of auto parts remanufactured products is 50% higher than that of new products, 60% energy saving, 70% energy saving, and a prominent role in environmental protection.
According to calculations, each scrapped car can save 1 ton of fuel, 2.4 tons of scrap steel and 45 kg of non-ferrous metals.
The remanufacturing of the automobile industry in the remanufacturing industry that is being discussed in the "Circular Economy Law" being discussed by the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress will be the focus. “The so-called remanufacturing is the industrialization of high-tech repair and transformation of waste products. It is not only an advanced manufacturing that conserves resources, but also a green manufacturing that protects the environment,†explained Dong Yang.
Take the environmental protection effect of the remanufacturing business of Volkswagen as an example. Since 1947, the remanufacture of 7.48 million original engines has reduced the emission of carbon dioxide by 572,220 tons, reduced the emission of nitrogen oxides by 662 tons, and reduced the emission of sulfur dioxide by 569 tons. It can save 46,876 tons of aluminum and save 337,366 tons of steel. Therefore, the steel handled (renovated) and saved can be used to build 49 Eiffel Towers and 161 Golden Gate Bridges.
According to statistics, the value of the global remanufacturing industry is estimated to exceed 100 billion U.S. dollars, of which the United States accounts for more than half. In the United States, automobile remanufacturing is the largest remanufacturing sector. The total number of remanufacturing companies exceeds 50,000, and the total annual sales are 36.5 billion U.S. dollars. Companies in this field remanufactured many types of components for cars and trucks, including internal combustion engines, transmissions, clutches, steering gear, starters, carburetors, and more. In the US motor vehicle repair market, 70% to 80% of accessories are remanufactured products. In Germany, the ratio of remanufactured parts to newly manufactured parts is 9:1.
In the world, the typical remanufactured enterprises are Caterpillar Remanufacturing Company and Liszt Petter Remanufacturing Company. German BMW Company has also established a complete national recycling product chain. During the remanufacturing process, 94% of the recovered old machines were repaired by high technology, 5% recycled, and only 0.5% were landfilled. The company's remanufactured engine costs 50%-80% of the new engine. . In addition, there is a car remanufacturing plant established by the Volkswagen Remanufacturing Company and the French Peugeot, Citroën, together with the French scrap steel company and the cement company. Renault also established a corresponding automotive scrap recycling center.
Wu Shaoming, deputy general manager of China FAW Group Co., Ltd., mentioned at the forum that FAW Group has initiated a planning outline for recycling and recycling in order to promote the development of the recycling economy in the automotive industry. "The auto parts remanufacturing project has already been established in the group." It is reported that at present, there are Dongfeng, Yuchai, Weichai, and Suzhou Aidi Electrical and Mechanical Co.
Dong Yang suggested that there are three things that the country must urgently do, namely, to revise laws and regulations, launch pilots, and formulate open door encouragement policies.
The State Should Improve Environmental Protection Requirements for the Automotive Industry
Li Shufu, chairman of Geely Holding Group, said that the country should improve the environmental protection requirements of the automotive industry and improve the environmental protection threshold for the automotive industry. The state must support and support the research on automobile environmental protection in terms of policies, and encourage the encouragement of energy-saving prizes, energy-disapproval, and fee-based heavy penalties to form a good atmosphere for environmental protection and energy conservation in the automotive industry.
The rapid growth of automobile consumption has, on the one hand, promoted social and economic development and provided mankind with material and civilized enjoyment. On the other hand, it has also brought tremendous pressure on China's energy and environmental protection. For Geely Automobile Company, we regard these difficulties and problems as a major historical business opportunity. Focusing on the center of energy conservation and environmental protection, we have formulated a series of strategic initiatives. All employees at the company have embarked on a long road to major technological breakthroughs and scientific discoveries. We know that the journey will not be smooth, but we are convinced that a miracle will come.
Li Shufu disclosed that Geely has made a number of achievements in research on energy conservation and environmental protection. Geely CVVT engine, Geely alternative fuel technology, Geely Electronics and other balanced powertrain technologies, and in-vehicle air quadruple purification technology allow Geely to use energy-saving and environmentally friendly technologies. R & D on the domestic leading position.
Li Shufu emphasized that all of these studies have only one goal: to reduce fuel consumption substantially, reduce emissions drastically, and enable Geely Automobile to achieve global leadership in energy conservation and emission reduction. We, the Geely people, believe that this is both a major business opportunity and a major social responsibility. Therefore, this is a noble and sacred cause and we are willing to fight for it.
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