China's agricultural and rural economy is generally stable, new industries, new business, new subjects, vigorous development

[ China Agricultural Machinery Industry News ] In November, the agricultural departments at all levels made every effort to stabilize production in autumn and winter, strengthen the excellent structure of information services, guide industrial development and promote transformation, and the overall agricultural and rural economy is stable, showing high yield and quality. Excellent and efficient improvement.

The grain harvested again, the structure of the autumn and winter sowing was fine, and the crop growth in the field was generally normal. According to the statistics of the National Bureau of Statistics, the total grain output of the country this year was 1,235.8 billion jin, up 0.3% year-on-year, the second highest-yielding year in history. According to the agricultural situation of the Ministry of Agriculture, this year's autumn and winter planting area is stable and the structure is optimized. It is expected that the area of ​​winter wheat and winter rapeseed will be slightly reduced compared with the previous year. The area ratio of strong gluten weak gluten wheat will reach 30%, and the area of ​​vegetables, potatoes and green manure will increase. . At present, the overall situation of the winter wheat area is appropriate, and the growth of winter wheat is generally normal. In some areas, the growth period is delayed due to the delay in the sowing date.

The benefits of livestock and poultry farming are improving, and the catching output of marine fisheries is declining. The layout of live pigs was optimized, the production capacity remained relatively stable, and supply and demand were basically balanced. According to the monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture, the growth rate of live pigs and able sows decreased by 0.1% and 0.6% respectively. The price of poultry meat has risen, and some farms have eliminated the laying of low-lying laying hens, which has led to a 1.1% drop in the number of laying hens. The market supply and demand are basically balanced. The growth rate of aquatic product production slowed down. From January to November, the total domestic aquatic product output increased by 0.3% year-on-year, and the growth rate dropped by 2.7 percentage points. Among them, marine fishing production decreased significantly, down 7.4% year-on-year, and resource conservation achieved remarkable results. There was no regional major animal epidemic in the country, and the overall situation of animal epidemic remained stable.

Food prices have stabilized and weakened, livestock prices have generally increased, and vegetable prices have continued to fall. The wholesale price index of agricultural products wholesale price 200 and “vegetable basket” products were 97.89 and 97.28, respectively, down 3.44 and 4.17 points respectively, which was basically the same. The prices of three staple foods, rice, wheat and corn, were stable and weak, with monthly average prices falling slightly by 0.6% and 1.6% year-on-year. Due to the decline in egg production rate and increased demand, the monthly average market price of eggs increased by 3.2% from the previous month; the consumption of mutton increased and the price strengthened, up 3.3% from the previous month and 16.8% higher than the same period last year. Affected by the coming of the New Year's Day Spring Festival, the price of live pigs increased slightly, and the price of aquatic products rose by 1.56%. The production situation of the main vegetable producing areas was better than that of previous years, and the supply was abundant. The monthly average wholesale price of 28 kinds of vegetables monitored by the Ministry of Agriculture decreased by 4.3%. It is expected that the shortage of wheat and the increase in the cost of northeast corn transportation will drive the grain price to stabilize and become stronger. With the consumption of fresh agricultural products entering the peak season, the prices of agricultural products will show a volatility upward trend.

The new main body of the new industry and new business has flourished, and the quality of agricultural development has further improved. Affected by the increased demand for processed agricultural products, the quality improvement effect of agricultural products processing industry is more obvious. According to statistics, from January to October, the main business income, total profit and export delivery value of agricultural products above designated size increased by 7.7%, 9.1% and 6.9% respectively, which were better than the same period last year. The development of agricultural products e-commerce and leisure agriculture is rapid, and fresh e-commerce has become a new driving force for e-commerce development. According to incomplete statistics, “Double Eleven” Jingdong sells tons of meat and 10 million pounds of fruits and vegetables; as of the end of November, the national leisure fishery achieved an output value of 70.842 billion yuan and received 220 million tourists. The main body of new agricultural operations has grown and the quality has been continuously improved. As of the end of November 2017, the number of farmer cooperatives registered in accordance with the law reached 1.799 million, more than 180,000 model institutions at all levels, and more than 7,200 associations.

Agricultural investment continues to lead the secondary and tertiary industries, and the short-term investment in the western and northeast regions has accelerated. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to October, industrial fixed assets investment (excluding rural households) was 1,709.6 billion yuan, and the growth rate in the past seven months rebounded, up 13.1% year-on-year, 10.4 and 3.1 percentage points higher than the secondary and tertiary industries respectively. It is a prominent highlight in fixed asset investment. Among them, private fixed assets investment increased by 15.6% year-on-year, which was higher than the overall growth rate of the industry for four consecutive months, accounting for 80.9% of the total growth. The growth rate of investment in the western and northeastern regions was 30.5% and 26.9%, respectively, which was significantly higher than that in the eastern and central regions.

Looking forward to the next period of time, while the agricultural and rural economic development is maintaining a stable operation, it needs to pay attention to three aspects. First, do a good job in disaster prevention and mitigation. Since the end of October, the precipitation in the winter wheat area in the north has been less, and the surface of the winter wheat area is insufficient. Some wheat seedlings are weak, and their ability to resist drought and cold is poor. Due to the high soil moisture and high temperature, the source number of wheat stripe rust in Northwest China was significantly higher than that in the previous year. The underground pests such as aphids had large amount of reproduction before winter, and the diseases such as sheath blight were recurring, and there were more weeds in the field. . All localities should strengthen field management, do a good job in prevention and control of pests and diseases, implement scientific resilience measures, and ensure that the strong seedlings are safe for winter. The second is to do a good job in animal disease prevention and control. As the seasons change, migratory birds migrate, and the risk of spreading wild-type birds across the region is increased. All localities should promote basic immunization, monitoring and supervision, border prevention and control, and emergency response, especially to strengthen the regulation of the live poultry market. The third is to pay close attention to market prices. As pork consumption rebounds seasonally, prices may fluctuate upwards, but supply and demand are basically balanced and there is little room for growth. Due to multiple factors such as the recovery of consumption and the release of capacity in the early stage, the price of poultry and eggs will not rise or fall; The impact of increased demand, vegetable prices are expected to rebound, business entities should pay attention to market price trends in a timely manner, and rational arrangements for listing or listing. (Original title: The national agricultural and rural economy in the country is stable and stable in November)