In recent years, autopilot technology has become a hot topic of discussion in the industry. Some people think that automatic driving is still far from people's lives, especially trucks may wait at least another 50 years. In fact, the arrival of self-driving cars is faster than you think. Foreign researchers have compiled a roadmap for the development of autonomous driving. You will find that in 40 years, the auto industry may completely subvert. What's more, commercial trucks are likely to be the first self-driving cars to be officially on the road.
â— 2016: Today, some truck manufacturers already have semi-automated driving functions
In May 2015, Freightliner Inspiration Truck was officially acquired
U.S. Government's First Truck Automatic Driver's License
At present, some of the world’s most advanced semi-autonomous driving functions have been basically implemented in Tesla and other vehicles. These semi-autonomous vehicles allow the driver to leave the steering wheel on both hands on the road. In addition, with a series of sensors and cameras, these semi-autonomous vehicles can also perform parallel operations, automatic parking, driving in a lane, and automatic braking.
Some experts pointed out that these technologies are very suitable for commercial trucks driving on highways. Many companies, such as Peloton and NXP, are developing queuing technology that uses a vehicle-to-vehicle communication system to connect multiple trucks together to form a queue. The trucks driving in the front of the queue are in the process of driving, and the drivers in the back truck can Sitting directly in the car rests without having to drive by yourself.
â— 2017 to 2019: Commercial trucks are likely to be the first autonomously driven cars to be officially on the road
Mercedes Future Truck 2025 can achieve automatic driving on actual roads at a speed of 80km/h
The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) of the United States is currently formulating relevant regulations for the testing and implementation of fully-autonomously driven cars nationwide. In addition, in order to collect data on issues that may be encountered in self-driving cars in various scenarios, some companies, such as Google, are increasing the test distance for self-driving cars.
These companies will test self-driving cars in various climates and environments, including rain and snow. In addition, they will also conduct tests in more places, not only including specialized test sites and roads with less traffic, but they will also conduct tests in areas with relatively high traffic and traffic. At the time of testing, these self-driving cars will still maintain slower speeds. If a state and federal regulatory agency allows autonomous cars to drive on highways, commercial trucks may be the first self-driving cars to get on the road.
â— 2020: Queue-based fully automated trucks may have become widespread
In April 2016 Daimler plans to put its three self-driving truck fleets on the road
Highly self-driving cars can achieve automatic driving on the road, but in order to deal with sudden emergencies, people still need to sit in the front row. Tesla said that by 2020, the company will have a self-driving car that can normally travel on the road.
By that time, fully automated trucks traveling on specific roads in queues may already be very common. City planners must figure out how to make different types of vehicles (such as buses and self-driving cars) safe on the same road. Insurance companies and related regulatory agencies must formulate corresponding liability regulations.
â— 2020-2023: Conversion garage of related facilities may disappear
Also check a wool driver's license, after which the truck driver only needs to play the tablet computer and landlords are enough.
When fully automated driving technology enters the market, this means that car manufacturers, drivers and regulators will usher in a turning point. Governments everywhere must also rethink the future design of the city. Will urban roads become a shared space for self-driving cars and pedestrians? Do these infrastructures, such as traffic lights and traffic signs, need to communicate with vehicles? In addition, by that time, you can summon your car from the parking area a few miles away. At that time, who needs a dedicated parking garage?
Nevertheless, car manufacturers still need to ensure that they can solve some very important issues: cars must be able to understand human signals, such as pedestrians beckoning at the crossroads, it must also be able to communicate with car lights and voice controllers and pedestrians communication.
â— From 2025 to 2030: Driving a car manually or will become a luxury
Autopilot technology has become the mainstream R&D direction in the current automotive industry
Automakers will stop producing automobiles that do not have a high degree of autonomy, and the ownership of personal cars will drop dramatically. At the same time, the driving range of manually driven cars will be gradually limited to certain venues such as some competition venues or test venues. At that time, driving your own car will become a hobby or enjoyment.
â— 2050: Subversion of the automotive industry
The automobile industry may be completely subverted by 2050
It takes about 15 years to completely subvert a car. So if automakers only produce fully-automated cars from 2030, by 2045 or later, you will be able to see both manual and semi-autonomous vehicles and fully automated driving on streets and highways. car.
By then, the entire city will undergo earth-shaking changes. Sidewalks may disappear because pedestrians and cars will share roads. There will no longer be a dedicated street parking, but only a parking garage away from the city center. Many infrastructures such as traffic signals may also disappear, replacing them with smaller and cheaper devices that can communicate with cars. By then, the driver will no longer exist.
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