Reducer becomes a stumbling block for domestic robots

Precision reducer has become a "stumbling block" for the development of the domestic robot industry. One third of the precision reducer that occupies one third of the manufacturing cost of the robot body is difficult to achieve localization, which directly leads to the weak bargaining power of the domestic ontology manufacturers, which makes the domestic machine manufacturing cost upside down compared to the imported machine and the competitive advantage is weak.

Taking the 165K arc welding robot in the automotive field as an example, the cost of purchasing only three core components, such as speed reducers, controllers, and servo motor systems, by domestic companies is as high as 85,000 yuan, 20,000 yuan, and 90,000 yuan respectively, and the total is 19.5. Million yuan, and Yaskawa Motor's same robot product sales price is only 168,000 yuan.

However, it cannot be overlooked that the Chinese industrial robot market is still in the ascendant. In recent years, the actual demand for robot reducers in China is rising rapidly. According to statistics from the GGII Institute, the 2014 robot reducer consumes 110,700 units and the output value is 1.118 billion yuan. It is estimated that in 2015, the demand for speed reducers for industrial robots in China will reach 136,500 units. The output value will reach 1.158 billion yuan.

The temptation of the huge market also ushered in the layout of domestic manufacturers, currently including Qinchuan Machine Tool (000837.SZ), Double Ring Drive (002472.SZ), Han's Laser (002008.SZ), Great Wheels (002031.SZ), and Heng. Some companies such as Winterthur, Nantong Zhenkang, Wuhan Essence, and Zhengshang Technology are striving to catch up with the localization of reducers.

Yesterday, the three-month suspension of the shares (000601.SZ) announced that the company intends to Qianhai Life Insurance and Ji Shenghua non-public offering of shares, raised funds will be invested in biomass power generation, electric vehicles, smart charging and other fields, And high-end equipment manufacturing industries such as new energy vehicles and industrial robot core components.

The announcement shows that the total amount of funds raised by Shanneng Shares in this issue does not exceed RMB 3.2 billion. Among them, 823 million yuan will be used for new energy vehicle powertrain and transmission system projects, 260 million yuan for industrial robot precision RV reducer projects, 512 million yuan and 584 million yuan will be used for electric vehicle intelligent charging system construction projects Heineng Group Xinfeng Biomass Power Generation Project also spent RMB 143 million for R&D center construction projects. The remaining funds were used to supplement working capital and repay bank loans.

Luneng Co., Ltd. stated that it will rely on accumulated technology, talents, and production and operation experience of its subsidiary, Shaoguan Hongda Gear Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as “Hongda Gear”) in the industrial robot RV reducer, and introduce new and advanced industrial robots by introducing advanced equipment from home and abroad. One precision RV reducer production line, the construction period of the project is 30 months, and the annual production capacity of 60,000 sets of precision RV reducer.

According to public information, Hongda Gear specializes in R&D, production and sales of automotive parts, construction machinery parts and gear reducers. The main products have been applied in the fields of automobiles, construction machinery, and robots. However, people in the industry revealed that the requirements for the life and processing accuracy of industrial robot RV reducers are very demanding, and their requirements in special equipment, materials, and heat treatment processes are also more stringent.

In addition, Shengneng Co., Ltd. claimed that Hongda Gear has more than 10 years of experience in the production of gear reducers. Currently, it provides parts for robot transmission systems for Guangzhou CNC Equipment Co., Ltd. It provides a certain technical basis for project implementation. However, the relevant person in charge of CNC in Guangzhou indicated that the robot RV reducer currently used by Guangzhou CNC is basically purchased from Japan, and the domestic use is very small.

The rapid increase in market demand for domestic robot RV reducer is one of the key factors for the company to firmly enter the reducer field. According to the forecast of the relevant agencies, according to the estimation of the total number of industrial robots in China that will reach approximately 600,000 units by 2020, and regardless of scrapping, a total of approximately 400,000 new industrial robots will be added in the next few years. According to the conservative estimation of 3 sets of RV reducers for each industrial robot, a total of 1.2 million sets of new demand for RV reducers for industrial robots will be added in the next few years. Therefore, the wave of localization of industrial robots has created a huge market space for domestic precision reducers.

If the above forecasting data is used, the eruption time of the robot RV reducer project and the reducer market of the company can meet unexpectedly. However, this does not mean that the Jangno Power Co., Ltd. robot RV reducer project will soon be a flat river. As we all know, the robot reducer industry has always been monopolized by Japanese companies, with a global outlook, and very few companies are involved. Although a number of enterprises such as Qinchuan Machine Tool (000837.SZ), Nantong Zhenkang, Hengfengtai, and Wuhan Deceleration Technologies have emerged in the country, only a handful of companies can truly introduce mass production. The huge market cake of RV reducer is very attractive, but it will take time to break the market monopoly of Japanese companies.

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